Showing posts with label Conditional Probabilities. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Conditional Probabilities. Show all posts

Friday, November 13, 2015

In Memoriam - Alexandre Grothendieck

This linked article is written to honor his memory. May he rest in peace.
He was truly, the greatest mathematician of the 20th century.

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A talk at Institut de Hautes Etudes Scientifiques providing an overview of the mathematics of Grothendieck


One of the rare instances of recorded voice of Grothendieck speaking on the meaning and value of scientific research in the context of rejecting research for the development of nuclear weapons:



Recent testimony from a variety of Grothendieck contemporaries (Courtesy Tony Iarrobino)/
Articles in AMS Notices :










Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Comments On "Chances Are..." By Steven Strogatz & BICs

Reading this piece general public piece on conditional probabilities brought me back more than 17 years ago back when in my senior year in college I was being introduced to conditional probabilities. Indeed in the manner it was taught it was seen as impenetrably daunting and really hard to relate to anything practical. But overtime as I have assimilated the theoretical and practical use of conditional probabilities, I must say the formal approach, once assimilated is very mechanical in helping produce accurate estimations. What is often confounding in making estimates based on conditional probabilities, is that the language used corrupts thoughts. That is why examples such as the Monty Python one and the Mammogram results interpretation are so confounding to educated and otherwise intelligent people.

It seems to me educational curriculums should focus on teaching the intuitive and formal approaches simultaneously and move towards pointing out when the intuitive approach finds its limitations and must be overtaken by the more formal one.

I also realize how BICs as extensions and generalizations of the concept of conditional probabilities must be patiently taught to be better understood over time

References:

Chances Are, By Steven Strogatz. Opiniator piece in the NY Times 04/25/2010

BICs

The Wider Scope of BICs