Thursday, February 11, 2010

Citi Plans Crisis Derivatives

This CLX plan appears to be a pickup from my article in the investment professional where I lambasted Krugman's analysis of the Treasury's PPIP and the fallacy of expectations based risk management he perpetuated in his analysis. In particular I pointed out the rise in funding cost at times of crisis not priced into such analysis to show how the computation of the so-called free lunch to PPIP investors was misguided.
The prescription in the article was to find replication contracts such as BICs that replicate the risks taken on as early as possible and keep uncertainty to a minimum.

However this contract, interesting as it may be only marginally addresses the range of risks. Anyway was it not Citi who would have needed such a contract last time? How could it safely be the underwriter?

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